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Red35
524210.2
874910.1
464117.4
Blue16
712512.3
47172.3
33558.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321501020405060703516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.40.5
12.412.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.1
End10.6
red by 5.1
7125
#16
12.30.0
8.18.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End3.3
Second
5242
#19
10.20.5
9.910.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.1
End3.3
red by 1.5
3355
#35
8.60.0
6.36.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Third
8749
#30
10.10.5
5.96.3
Auto3.3
Teleop2.1
End4.6
red by 7.8
4717
#38
2.30.0
1.81.8
Auto2.1
Teleop0.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsEarned5%Hangar oddsMissed