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Red38
541119.7
750613.3
676811.4
Blue102
731913.7
331054.4
543120.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3179020406010012014038102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
#15
19.70.2
13.914.1
Auto4.5
Teleop5.1
End10.0
blue by 34.7
54.42.0
42.544.5
Auto13.0
Teleop27.9
End13.5
Second
7506
#22
13.30.2
9.29.4
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End7.5
blue by 7.1
20.42.0
16.418.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End9.1
Third
6768
#24
11.40.2
12.112.3
Auto4.9
Teleop4.3
End2.2
blue by 2.4
7319
#25
13.72.0
9.111.1
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed41%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsEarned64%Hangar oddsEarned