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Red40
284823.3
690113.4
29507.5
Blue21
367610.4
762110.3
56829.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions452101030405060704021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#10
23.30.1
18.018.0
Auto5.6
Teleop7.1
End10.7
red by 13.0
3676
#27
10.40.1
5.75.6
Auto3.8
Teleop2.5
End4.1
Second
6901
#33
13.40.1
13.813.9
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End4.5
red by 3.1
7621
#29
10.30.1
10.210.0
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End3.7
Third
2950
#26
7.50.1
7.47.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.6
End2.8
blue by 1.5
5682
#14
9.00.1
6.96.8
Auto2.0
Teleop2.3
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsEarned22%Hangar oddsMissed