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Red64
712512.3
464117.4
303523.0
Blue41
56829.0
690113.4
380217.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494102060801006441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.01.2
19.220.4
Auto7.3
Teleop9.2
End6.5
red by 5.2
3802
#21
17.90.1
15.215.3
Auto4.9
Teleop8.7
End4.3
Second
17.41.2
14.916.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.1
End10.6
red by 4.0
6901
#33
13.40.1
15.615.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End4.5
Third
7125
#16
12.31.2
11.212.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End3.3
red by 3.3
5682
#14
9.00.1
9.09.1
Auto2.0
Teleop2.3
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsEarned33%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsEarned34%Hangar oddsMissed