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Red45
461010.2
667225.1
33558.6
Blue55
731913.7
617110.4
541720.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483702060801004555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.10.1
25.525.6
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End8.9
red by 4.7
20.40.7
17.217.9
Auto5.7
Teleop7.5
End7.2
Second
4610
#34
10.20.1
9.09.0
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End3.1
blue by 3.5
7319
#25
13.70.7
11.011.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End2.3
Third
3355
#35
8.60.1
9.39.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.0
End1.3
blue by 1.7
6171
#28
10.40.7
7.88.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsEarned22%Hangar oddsEarned