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Red32
731913.7
712512.3
690113.4
Blue73
712116.5
524210.2
11843.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29720204060801001203273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7319
#25
13.70.0
10.09.9
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End2.3
blue by 29.5
118
#3
43.20.7
43.243.9
Auto12.1
Teleop18.8
End12.3
Second
6901
#33
13.40.0
14.514.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End4.5
blue by 3.1
7121
#12
16.50.7
9.910.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.4
End5.6
Third
7125
#16
12.30.0
8.28.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End3.3
red by 2.1
5242
#19
10.20.7
9.19.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed51%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed49%Hangar oddsEarned