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Red53
33558.6
505213.2
303523.0
Blue49
271413.5
731913.7
750613.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46350204060801005349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.8
21.221.9
Auto7.3
Teleop9.2
End6.5
red by 9.3
7319
#25
13.71.0
12.213.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End2.3
Second
5052
#13
13.20.8
11.612.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.7
End4.7
blue by 0.3
2714
#23
13.51.0
10.411.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End4.0
Third
3355
#35
8.60.8
9.09.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.0
End1.3
blue by 4.7
7506
#22
13.31.0
11.612.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsEarned