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Red43
380217.9
885816.7
635710.4
Blue48
52128.5
541720.4
667225.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355802040801004348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3802
#21
17.90.5
15.315.7
Auto4.9
Teleop8.7
End4.3
blue by 7.2
25.10.3
26.326.1
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End8.9
Second
16.70.5
13.514.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End4.2
blue by 3.7
20.40.3
17.917.6
Auto5.7
Teleop7.5
End7.2
Third
6357
#18
10.40.5
7.27.6
Auto4.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
red by 1.9
5212
#20
8.50.3
7.67.3
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsEarned20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed55%Hangar oddsEarned