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Red46
750313.1
731913.7
88167.7
Blue38
690113.4
750613.3
367610.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39393638404244464638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7319
#25
13.70.4
13.213.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End2.3
red by 0.4
6901
#33
13.40.1
15.015.1
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End4.5
Second
7503
#31
13.10.4
14.715.1
Auto5.9
Teleop3.2
End4.0
blue by 0.2
7506
#22
13.30.1
12.612.7
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End7.5
Third
8816
#36
7.70.4
8.69.0
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End0.7
blue by 2.6
3676
#27
10.40.1
9.39.4
Auto3.8
Teleop2.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsMissed