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Red51
541119.7
731913.7
367610.4
Blue37
32823.1
75358.3
690113.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47260204060801005137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
#15
19.70.6
18.619.3
Auto4.5
Teleop5.1
End10.0
red by 6.3
6901
#33
13.40.4
15.115.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End4.5
Second
7319
#25
13.70.6
13.614.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End2.3
red by 5.4
7535
#39
8.30.4
9.09.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End3.9
Third
3676
#27
10.40.6
9.410.0
Auto3.8
Teleop2.5
End4.1
red by 7.2
3282
#42
3.10.5
3.03.5
Auto2.8
Teleop-0.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed3%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsEarned22%Hangar oddsMissed