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Red64
380217.9
636917.3
750613.3
Blue28
885816.7
712512.3
88747.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464201001502002506428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3802
#21
17.91.4
14.716.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.7
End4.3
red by 1.2
16.70.8
17.817.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End4.2
Second
6369
#11
17.31.4
14.916.3
Auto6.4
Teleop3.0
End8.0
red by 5.0
7125
#16
12.30.8
13.212.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End3.3
Third
7506
#22
13.31.4
12.714.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End7.5
red by 6.4
8874
#40
7.00.8
8.88.0
Auto3.4
Teleop1.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed