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Red42
70916.1
543120.4
52128.5
Blue34
617110.4
56829.0
505213.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403302060804234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.3
21.321.7
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End9.1
red by 7.2
5052
#13
13.20.1
12.212.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.7
End4.7
Second
5212
#20
8.50.3
8.18.4
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End2.0
blue by 1.8
6171
#28
10.40.1
10.810.7
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End3.2
Third
7091
#32
6.10.3
7.37.7
Auto3.3
Teleop1.4
End1.4
blue by 2.8
5682
#14
9.00.1
8.68.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.3
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsEarned43%Hangar oddsEarned