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Red24
380217.9
505213.2
52128.5
Blue56
284823.3
303523.0
762110.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30450204060802456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3802
#21
17.90.7
12.912.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.7
End4.3
blue by 5.5
2848
#10
23.31.0
16.517.5
Auto5.6
Teleop7.1
End10.7
Second
5052
#13
13.20.7
9.48.6
Auto3.9
Teleop4.7
End4.7
blue by 9.8
23.01.0
15.616.6
Auto7.3
Teleop9.2
End6.5
Third
5212
#20
8.50.7
7.87.1
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End2.0
blue by 1.8
7621
#29
10.31.0
8.69.6
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed52%Hangar oddsEarned