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Red43
762110.3
690113.4
541119.7
Blue45
750613.3
33558.6
885816.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494102060801001201404345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
#15
19.70.1
19.319.1
Auto4.5
Teleop5.1
End10.0
red by 3.0
16.70.3
17.017.3
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End4.2
Second
6901
#33
13.40.1
14.714.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End4.5
Level
7506
#22
13.30.3
14.114.5
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End7.5
Third
7621
#29
10.30.1
11.110.9
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End3.7
red by 1.7
3355
#35
8.60.3
8.89.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed