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Red43
284823.3
885816.7
750313.1
Blue95
29507.5
271413.5
331054.4
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions568020401001204395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#10
23.30.8
24.523.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.1
End10.7
blue by 31.1
54.41.5
54.355.8
Auto13.0
Teleop27.9
End13.5
Second
16.70.8
17.316.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End4.2
red by 3.2
2714
#23
13.51.5
11.813.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End4.0
Third
7503
#31
13.10.8
13.712.8
Auto5.9
Teleop3.2
End4.0
red by 5.6
2950
#26
7.51.5
5.97.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed64%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsEarned