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Red19
99999.2
543131.3
384726.7
Blue53
541119.0
288129.1
174516.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78680501001501953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
Unranked
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto6.3
Teleop15.3
End9.7
red by 2.1
2881
Unranked
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto7.2
Teleop11.0
End10.8
Second
3847
Unranked
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto6.1
Teleop13.5
End7.1
red by 7.7
5411
Unranked
19.00.0
19.019.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End10.0
Third
9999
Unranked
9.20.0
9.29.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.1
End3.5
blue by 7.5
1745
Unranked
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto5.5
Teleop3.4
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
46%Cargo odds32%Cargo odds
Hangar
62%Hangar odds89%Hangar odds