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Red70
14853.9
461010.8
288129.1
Blue50
617110.4
637726.5
541426.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107620501502007050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
Unranked
53.90.0
53.953.9
Auto14.9
Teleop29.9
End9.1
red by 27.4
6377
Unranked
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End6.5
Second
2881
Unranked
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto7.2
Teleop11.0
End10.8
red by 2.8
5414
Unranked
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto8.7
Teleop9.7
End7.9
Third
4610
Unranked
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.0
End2.9
red by 0.4
6171
Unranked
10.40.0
10.410.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo odds30%Cargo odds
Hangar
80%Hangar odds57%Hangar odds