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Red26
258311.0
857315.1
35455.2
Blue16
42956.1
66457.2
589410.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36240102030506070802616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.10.1
15.615.4
Auto4.7
Teleop3.4
End6.9
red by 5.0
5894
#23
10.00.2
10.310.1
Auto4.3
Teleop2.3
End3.5
Second
11.00.1
11.411.3
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End4.3
red by 3.7
7.20.2
7.47.3
Auto1.6
Teleop1.5
End4.1
Third
3545
#17
5.20.1
5.65.5
Auto4.1
Teleop-1.0
End2.0
blue by 0.9
4295
#15
6.10.2
6.36.1
Auto3.6
Teleop0.8
End1.7