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Red44
258716.4
310315.9
88276.0
Blue28
50703.7
82106.6
28827.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions421502060801004428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.2
15.515.7
Auto5.6
Teleop1.8
End9.0
red by 8.9
2882
#27
7.50.2
7.37.5
Auto4.3
Teleop0.4
End2.8
Second
15.90.2
15.015.2
Auto3.2
Teleop0.8
End11.9
red by 9.3
8210
#10
6.60.2
6.46.6
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End2.8
Third
8827
#13
6.00.2
5.15.3
Auto3.0
Teleop-0.2
End3.3
red by 2.3
5070
#31
3.70.2
3.53.7
Auto1.3
Teleop1.7
End0.7