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Red22
42956.1
50703.7
28827.5
Blue42
801917.9
30297.8
37286.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192501030405060702242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2882
#27
7.50.2
8.78.9
Auto4.3
Teleop0.4
End2.8
blue by 10.4
17.90.8
8.79.5
Auto4.9
Teleop4.5
End8.5
Second
4295
#15
6.10.2
2.72.9
Auto3.6
Teleop0.8
End1.7
blue by 1.7
3029
#11
7.80.8
5.96.7
Auto2.9
Teleop0.2
End4.7
Third
5070
#31
3.70.2
7.27.4
Auto1.3
Teleop1.7
End0.7
blue by 2.3
3728
#24
6.01.3
7.89.1
Auto2.6
Teleop1.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsEarned