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Red8
45972.4
37286.0
68303.5
Blue45
258311.0
30297.8
258716.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18360406080845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3728
#24
6.01.3
9.17.8
Auto2.6
Teleop1.6
End1.8
blue by 10.4
16.40.9
11.011.9
Auto5.6
Teleop1.8
End9.0
Second
6830
#25
3.50.8
6.75.9
Auto1.1
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 7.5
11.00.9
11.912.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End4.3
Third
4597
#32
2.40.8
3.62.8
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End0.2
blue by 5.4
3029
#11
7.80.9
8.39.2
Auto2.9
Teleop0.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsEarned