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Red12
85562.6
35455.2
82106.6
Blue19
82742.8
50703.7
66457.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17200103040506070801219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8210
#10
6.60.3
6.05.7
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End2.8
blue by 0.6
7.20.0
8.48.5
Auto1.6
Teleop1.5
End4.1
Second
3545
#17
5.20.3
7.37.0
Auto4.1
Teleop-1.0
End2.0
red by 1.5
5070
#31
3.70.0
5.25.2
Auto1.3
Teleop1.7
End0.7
Third
8556
#14
2.60.3
3.12.8
Auto1.0
Teleop-0.0
End1.6
blue by 0.1
8274
#12
2.80.0
5.15.1
Auto1.5
Teleop-0.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
3%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsMissed