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Red40
84056.4
857315.1
43325.3
Blue36
28827.5
23127.8
38347.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2241060804036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.10.9
15.816.7
Auto4.7
Teleop3.4
End6.9
blue by 12.8
231
#3
27.80.0
19.019.0
Auto10.4
Teleop9.7
End7.8
Second
8405
#16
6.40.9
3.84.7
Auto4.2
Teleop0.4
End1.9
blue by 1.1
2882
#27
7.50.0
9.39.3
Auto4.3
Teleop0.4
End2.8
Third
4332
#28
5.30.9
3.24.0
Auto2.7
Teleop1.6
End1.0
blue by 2.0
3834
#21
7.30.0
7.67.6
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
3%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsMissed