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Red4
38347.3
71152.6
59866.3
Blue31
85562.6
589410.0
30297.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16290102040506070431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3834
#21
7.30.8
6.96.1
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End3.6
blue by 2.7
5894
#23
10.00.2
13.313.1
Auto4.3
Teleop2.3
End3.5
Second
5986
#26
6.30.8
5.95.1
Auto2.0
Teleop1.4
End2.8
blue by 1.6
3029
#11
7.80.2
9.18.9
Auto2.9
Teleop0.2
End4.7
Third
7115
#22
2.60.8
3.72.8
Auto0.7
Teleop-0.1
End2.0
Level
8556
#14
2.60.2
3.33.2
Auto1.0
Teleop-0.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed45%Hangar oddsMissed