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Red40
801917.9
66457.2
82106.6
Blue16
30297.8
42956.1
83925.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3222010405060704016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.90.7
14.415.1
Auto4.9
Teleop4.5
End8.5
red by 10.1
3029
#11
7.80.4
9.08.6
Auto2.9
Teleop0.2
End4.7
Second
7.20.7
8.18.8
Auto1.6
Teleop1.5
End4.1
red by 1.1
4295
#15
6.10.4
6.15.7
Auto3.6
Teleop0.8
End1.7
Third
8210
#10
6.60.7
6.47.1
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End2.8
red by 1.5
8392
#29
5.20.4
7.16.7
Auto3.7
Teleop1.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed