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Red6
35455.2
45972.4
50703.7
Blue19
38347.3
258311.0
88276.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1328020405060619

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3545
#17
5.20.5
6.66.1
Auto4.1
Teleop-1.0
End2.0
blue by 5.8
11.00.4
11.811.5
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End4.3
Second
5070
#31
3.70.5
4.84.3
Auto1.3
Teleop1.7
End0.7
blue by 3.6
3834
#21
7.30.4
5.75.3
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End3.6
Third
4597
#32
2.40.5
2.41.9
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End0.2
blue by 3.6
8827
#13
6.00.5
6.86.3
Auto3.0
Teleop-0.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed