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Red49
373513.1
125516.4
81509.9
Blue50
708814.8
582917.2
31039.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38400102030506070804950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.3
15.315.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End5.0
blue by 0.8
17.20.2
15.715.9
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End5.5
Second
13.10.3
12.012.2
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End5.4
blue by 1.7
14.80.2
13.313.5
Auto4.9
Teleop1.6
End8.3
Third
8150
#25
9.90.3
8.89.0
Auto4.7
Teleop3.1
End2.2
Level
3103
#20
9.90.2
8.48.6
Auto2.4
Teleop0.9
End6.6