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Red70
373513.1
125516.4
81509.9
Blue69
708814.8
582917.2
31039.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394102060807069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.7
15.516.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End5.0
blue by 0.8
17.20.6
15.916.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End5.5
Second
13.10.7
12.213.0
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End5.4
blue by 1.7
14.80.6
13.514.1
Auto4.9
Teleop1.6
End8.3
Third
8150
#25
9.90.7
9.09.8
Auto4.7
Teleop3.1
End2.2
Level
3103
#20
9.90.6
8.69.2
Auto2.4
Teleop0.9
End6.6