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Red70
463925.1
458716.4
83708.7
Blue46
875012.2
761615.5
542712.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53422060801007046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4639
#10
25.10.3
24.524.8
Auto5.6
Teleop16.7
End2.8
red by 9.6
7616
#11
15.50.0
15.815.8
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End10.4
Second
16.40.3
15.816.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.8
End3.8
red by 4.2
8750
#12
12.20.0
12.512.5
Auto2.5
Teleop6.4
End3.4
Third
8370
#16
8.70.3
8.18.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End2.5
blue by 3.4
5427
#18
12.10.0
12.412.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.3
End4.7