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Red31
582917.2
708814.8
81509.9
Blue24
88186.6
373513.1
31039.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291601020405060703124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.20.2
9.69.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End5.5
red by 4.1
13.10.5
7.47.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End5.4
Second
14.80.2
6.96.7
Auto4.9
Teleop1.6
End8.3
red by 4.9
3103
#20DQ
9.90.8
6.27.0
Auto2.4
Teleop0.9
End6.6
Third
8150
#25
9.90.2
9.08.8
Auto4.7
Teleop3.1
End2.2
red by 3.3
8818
#21
6.60.5
3.43.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed