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Red26
81509.9
761615.5
542712.1
Blue34
125516.4
88186.6
463925.1
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31500204060802634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7616
#11
15.50.4
16.215.8
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End10.4
blue by 9.6
4639
#10
25.10.7
24.323.6
Auto5.6
Teleop16.7
End2.8
Second
5427
#18
12.10.4
7.87.5
Auto4.1
Teleop3.3
End4.7
blue by 4.3
16.40.7
14.914.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End5.0
Third
8150
#25
9.90.4
7.97.5
Auto4.7
Teleop3.1
End2.2
red by 3.3
8818
#21
6.60.7
5.54.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
3%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed