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Red58
62443.6
55038.5
83708.7
Blue26
50707.8
373513.1
458716.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6123040801005826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
43.60.4
35.535.9
Auto13.3
Teleop22.7
End7.6
red by 27.2
16.40.1
11.311.2
Auto4.8
Teleop7.8
End3.8
Second
8370
#16
8.70.4
8.89.1
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End2.5
blue by 4.4
13.10.1
9.19.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End5.4
Third
5503
#17
8.50.4
8.18.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.4
End2.7
red by 0.7
5070
#26
7.80.1
6.46.4
Auto1.3
Teleop3.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsEarned16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsEarned14%Hangar oddsMissed