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Red17
81448.4
52619.2
88186.6
Blue48
25878.6
147729.5
50707.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214201030506070801748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5261
#31
9.20.3
8.48.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End3.5
blue by 20.4
29.50.8
22.923.6
Auto6.6
Teleop14.7
End8.3
Second
8144
#22
8.40.3
8.37.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End1.1
blue by 0.2
2587
#28
8.61.3
7.48.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.0
End3.9
Third
8818
#21
6.60.3
5.55.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End1.8
blue by 1.3
5070
#26
7.81.3
6.47.6
Auto1.3
Teleop3.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsEarned