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Red31
50707.8
542712.1
31039.9
Blue32
74186.5
876914.4
81509.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23230102030403132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5427
#18
12.10.6
8.99.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.3
End4.7
blue by 2.3
8769
#15
14.40.7
11.612.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End4.6
Second
3103
#20
9.90.9
5.96.8
Auto2.4
Teleop0.9
End6.6
Level
8150
#25
9.90.7
6.77.4
Auto4.7
Teleop3.1
End2.2
Third
5070
#26
7.80.9
7.68.5
Auto1.3
Teleop3.2
End3.3
red by 1.4
7418
#30
6.50.7
2.63.3
Auto3.4
Teleop3.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned2%Hangar oddsMissed