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Red41
875012.2
50707.8
125516.4
Blue63
85159.9
458716.4
147729.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34572040801004163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.1
14.815.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End5.0
blue by 13.1
29.50.8
27.027.8
Auto6.6
Teleop14.7
End8.3
Second
8750
#12
12.20.1
12.212.4
Auto2.5
Teleop6.4
End3.4
blue by 4.2
16.40.8
13.814.6
Auto4.8
Teleop7.8
End3.8
Third
5070
#26
7.80.2
7.98.1
Auto1.3
Teleop3.2
End3.3
blue by 2.0
8515
#13
9.90.8
10.010.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsEarned43%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed51%Hangar oddsMissed