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Red55
876914.4
62443.6
88186.6
Blue86
125516.4
384740.8
55038.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45602040801005586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
43.60.4
33.534.0
Auto13.3
Teleop22.7
End7.6
red by 2.8
40.80.8
33.834.6
Auto10.6
Teleop23.2
End6.9
Second
8769
#15
14.40.4
7.88.3
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End4.6
blue by 2.0
16.40.8
13.714.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End5.0
Third
8818
#21
6.60.4
3.03.4
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End1.8
blue by 1.9
5503
#17
8.50.8
6.77.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed45%Hangar oddsMissed