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Red49
258717.3
125519.9
81508.3
Blue18
749218.8
541426.3
458710.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476202040801001201404918

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1255
Unranked
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto6.8
Teleop7.1
End6.0
blue by 6.4
5414
Unranked
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto8.7
Teleop9.7
End7.9
Second
2587
Unranked
17.30.0
17.317.3
Auto8.2
Teleop0.3
End8.6
blue by 1.5
7492
Unranked
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End8.2
Third
8150
Unranked
8.30.0
8.38.3
Auto4.7
Teleop0.7
End2.9
blue by 2.4
4587
Unranked
10.60.0
10.610.6
Auto5.0
Teleop1.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo odds39%Cargo odds
Hangar
61%Hangar odds73%Hangar odds