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Red34
463918.9
876914.4
271419.2
Blue64
384726.7
582916.4
81508.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575502040801003464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2714
Unranked
19.20.0
19.219.2
Auto5.6
Teleop8.4
End5.1
blue by 7.6
3847
Unranked
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto6.1
Teleop13.5
End7.1
Second
4639
Unranked
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End6.0
red by 2.6
5829
Unranked
16.40.0
16.416.4
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End6.2
Third
8769
Unranked
14.40.0
14.414.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End4.6
red by 6.2
8150
Unranked
8.30.0
8.38.3
Auto4.7
Teleop0.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo odds15%Cargo odds
Hangar
42%Hangar odds48%Hangar odds