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Red117
62444.8
258717.3
384726.7
Blue34
284827.8
582916.4
52619.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10350015011734

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
Unranked
44.80.0
44.844.8
Auto14.2
Teleop21.1
End9.4
red by 16.9
2848
Unranked
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End9.9
Second
3847
Unranked
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto6.1
Teleop13.5
End7.1
red by 10.4
5829
Unranked
16.40.0
16.416.4
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End6.2
Third
2587
Unranked
17.30.0
17.317.3
Auto8.2
Teleop0.3
End8.6
red by 8.1
5261
Unranked
9.20.0
9.29.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
89%Cargo odds21%Cargo odds
Hangar
93%Hangar odds78%Hangar odds