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Red70
288126.7
147717.7
43648.4
Blue19
618010.6
561311.4
27149.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523201020406070807019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.5
24.625.1
Auto6.6
Teleop10.0
End10.1
red by 15.4
11.40.3
11.511.3
Auto5.1
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Second
17.70.5
15.616.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End6.9
red by 7.1
6180
#16
10.60.3
10.810.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.2
End5.1
Third
4364
#30
8.40.5
6.26.7
Auto2.3
Teleop2.3
End3.7
blue by 1.4
2714
#13
9.80.3
10.09.7
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End3.2