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Red22
71219.9
284816.5
58665.7
Blue49
88795.1
288126.7
71258.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332901020405060702249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#17
16.50.9
11.010.0
Auto5.0
Teleop4.2
End7.3
blue by 10.2
26.72.4
13.215.6
Auto6.6
Teleop10.0
End10.1
Second
7121
#15
9.90.9
8.67.7
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End2.0
red by 1.7
7125
#21
8.22.4
7.29.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End0.1
Third
5866
#37
5.70.9
10.79.8
Auto2.2
Teleop2.4
End1.2
red by 0.7
8879
#24
5.12.4
7.19.5
Auto1.9
Teleop1.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed