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Red11
87103.6
380212.9
87697.8
Blue6
84054.2
541711.1
59085.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32240406080100116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.92.0
11.49.4
Auto5.9
Teleop5.3
End1.8
red by 1.8
5417
#23
11.12.0
8.96.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End1.3
Second
8769
#33
7.82.0
12.310.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End1.0
red by 2.7
5908
#31
5.12.0
7.35.4
Auto1.8
Teleop3.3
End0.1
Third
8710
#39DQ
3.62.0
5.33.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop2.1
End2.1
blue by 0.7
8405
#40
4.22.0
7.45.5
Auto1.6
Teleop-0.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed