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Red12
58665.7
52127.8
71258.2
Blue38
284816.5
36765.3
300523.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313401020405060701238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7125
#21
8.21.9
9.67.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End0.1
blue by 15.4
3005
#11
23.50.7
11.612.3
Auto6.7
Teleop9.9
End6.9
Second
5212
#28
7.81.9
9.87.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.1
End0.0
blue by 8.7
2848
#17
16.50.7
10.010.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.2
End7.3
Third
5866
#37
5.71.9
9.87.9
Auto2.2
Teleop2.4
End1.2
red by 0.4
3676
#29
5.30.7
9.710.5
Auto2.0
Teleop1.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed