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Red21
52127.8
30296.5
84054.2
Blue32
29694.6
637716.3
147717.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2338060801002132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5212
#28
7.80.7
7.36.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.1
End0.0
blue by 9.9
17.70.2
13.313.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End6.9
Second
3029
#12
6.50.7
8.27.5
Auto1.7
Teleop1.4
End3.4
blue by 9.8
6377
#20
16.30.2
13.513.3
Auto4.3
Teleop9.2
End2.8
Third
8405
#40DQ
4.21.0
6.47.4
Auto1.6
Teleop-0.4
End3.1
blue by 0.4
2969
#38
4.60.2
7.47.1
Auto1.9
Teleop1.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed