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Red46
52429.1
284816.5
30296.5
Blue8
59085.1
88425.8
300523.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2531020406080100468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#17
16.52.0
10.812.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.2
End7.3
blue by 7.0
3005
#11
23.52.3
12.310.1
Auto6.7
Teleop9.9
End6.9
Second
5242
#36
9.12.0
7.49.5
Auto4.2
Teleop2.7
End2.2
red by 3.3
8842
#26
5.82.3
9.57.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Third
3029
#12
6.52.0
5.67.6
Auto1.7
Teleop1.4
End3.4
red by 1.4
5908
#31
5.12.3
6.44.2
Auto1.8
Teleop3.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsMissed