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Red48
58665.7
268724.8
147717.7
Blue46
87697.8
61717.2
637716.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412701020506070804846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.81.2
17.418.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.8
End7.9
red by 8.5
6377
#20
16.31.2
12.613.8
Auto4.3
Teleop9.2
End2.8
Second
17.71.2
11.512.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End6.9
red by 9.9
8769
#33
7.81.2
6.67.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End1.0
Third
5866
#37
5.71.2
7.99.1
Auto2.2
Teleop2.4
End1.2
blue by 1.5
6171
#35
7.21.2
8.09.2
Auto2.8
Teleop1.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed