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Red19
68306.9
852813.5
52429.1
Blue27
88588.6
543114.0
52127.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34270102040506070801927

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.51.3
14.913.6
Auto5.9
Teleop5.6
End2.0
blue by 0.5
5431
#18
14.00.1
14.114.2
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End4.1
Second
5242
#36
9.11.3
9.58.1
Auto4.2
Teleop2.7
End2.2
red by 0.6
8858
#25
8.60.1
4.34.3
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End4.4
Third
6830
#34
6.91.3
6.75.4
Auto1.2
Teleop4.4
End1.4
blue by 0.9
5212
#28
7.80.1
7.98.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.1
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed