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Red28
87103.6
61717.2
246815.2
Blue14
58665.7
30296.5
87697.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33250102030405060702814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#10
15.20.2
16.316.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End5.6
red by 7.4
8769
#33
7.81.2
7.86.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End1.0
Second
6171
#35
7.20.2
9.29.0
Auto2.8
Teleop1.5
End2.9
red by 0.7
3029
#12
6.51.2
7.66.5
Auto1.7
Teleop1.4
End3.4
Third
8710
#39
3.60.2
4.64.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop2.1
End2.1
blue by 2.2
5866
#37
5.71.2
9.17.9
Auto2.2
Teleop2.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed