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Red18
36765.3
59085.1
268912.5
Blue7
85561.3
71219.9
68306.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292810152025354045187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2689
#19
12.514.3
21.47.1
Auto3.8
Teleop7.6
End1.1
red by 2.6
7121
#15
9.92.2
10.88.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End2.0
Second
3676
#29
5.31.0
10.79.7
Auto2.0
Teleop1.1
End2.2
blue by 1.6
6830
#34
6.92.2
7.95.7
Auto1.2
Teleop4.4
End1.4
Third
5908
#31
5.11.0
8.37.3
Auto1.8
Teleop3.3
End0.1
red by 3.8
8556
#22
1.33.3
2.65.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop0.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed