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Red70
852813.5
88425.8
62432.3
Blue25
84054.2
58665.7
61717.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60902040801001207025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#3
32.31.8
29.631.4
Auto9.5
Teleop15.8
End7.0
red by 25.1
6171
#35
7.20.6
8.18.7
Auto2.8
Teleop1.5
End2.9
Second
13.51.6
12.414.1
Auto5.9
Teleop5.6
End2.0
red by 7.8
5866
#37
5.70.6
5.05.7
Auto2.2
Teleop2.4
End1.2
Third
8842
#26
5.81.6
8.19.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End1.0
red by 1.6
8405
#40
4.20.6
1.72.3
Auto1.6
Teleop-0.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsEarned4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed